Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000214 0.000240 0.000267 0.000298 0.000333 0.000370 0.000414
2025-02-02 0.000185 0.000221 0.000261 0.000311 0.000370 0.000438 0.000523
2025-02-09 0.000159 0.000201 0.000251 0.000315 0.000396 0.000495 0.000625
2025-02-16 0.000139 0.000184 0.000241 0.000318 0.000420 0.000550 0.000730
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000169 0.000230 0.000317 0.000438 0.000599 0.000831
2025-03-02 0.000106 0.000153 0.000217 0.000312 0.000447 0.000636 0.000919
2025-03-09 0.000095 0.000142 0.000208 0.000310 0.000461 0.000680 0.001020
2025-03-16 0.000086 0.000133 0.000201 0.000310 0.000478 0.000728 0.001130
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000125 0.000196 0.000311 0.000495 0.000778 0.001248
2025-03-30 0.000072 0.000117 0.000189 0.000309 0.000507 0.000820 0.001356
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000112 0.000185 0.000311 0.000524 0.000872 0.001484
2025-04-13 0.000061 0.000106 0.000181 0.000312 0.000540 0.000921 0.001613
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000099 0.000173 0.000308 0.000548 0.000961 0.001732
2025-04-27 0.000054 0.000098 0.000176 0.000322 0.000588 0.001061 0.001966
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000095 0.000174 0.000326 0.000613 0.001134 0.002161
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000091 0.000171 0.000330 0.000636 0.001206 0.002360
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000087 0.000167 0.000329 0.000650 0.001264 0.002537
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000081 0.000160 0.000323 0.000654 0.001302 0.002678
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000077 0.000155 0.000321 0.000666 0.001356 0.002857
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000074 0.000152 0.000321 0.000682 0.001419 0.003060
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000071 0.000149 0.000323 0.000700 0.001488 0.003284
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000068 0.000145 0.000321 0.000710 0.001542 0.003479
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000065 0.000143 0.000323 0.000729 0.001617 0.003727